Wednesday, April 22, 2009

4 Surprising Reasons I Won't Be Celebrating Earth Day - Part 3

2. Environmentalism Is the Win-Win That Never Claims Final Victory Nor Defeat

Environmentalism is similar to the Y2K scare, the problem that terrified the world, but with the click of a clock, it went away. The Y2K argument was win-win in this way:
  • If we checked every line of code and missed something and the world came to an end, the alarmists win in a sense with a giant "We told you so."
  • If we checked every line of code and the world DIDN'T come to an end, the alarmists win with a giant "Whew. We dodged a bullet there."
  • If there was never a problem to start with, and we do nothing, alarmists can claim the tiny amount they did "saved the world" with each new day
In short, there is no situation in which the alarmist (Y2K or environmentalists) are ever forced to claim they were wrong about anything.


Still thinks he's right in spite of a drop-off in sales.

Only environmentalism never goes away; the very fact that the Earth exists is evidence that their efforts are working.

Earth Day 1970 (which fought against Global Cooling) brought with it a number of dire predictions from the eco-prophets of the era. For example from Reason.com's great article on Earth Day:
"Writing just five years after the first Earth Day, Paul Ehrlich and his biologist wife, Anne Ehrlich, predicted that 'since more than nine-tenths of the original tropical rainforests will be removed in most areas within the next 30 years or so, it is expected that half of the organisms in these areas will vanish with it.'"
The only problem with that prediction is
"Most species that were alive in 1970 are still around today... Since 1973, only seven species have gone extinct in the United States."
And another example for good measure:
"Ecologist Kenneth Watt declared, "By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate...that there won't be any more crude oil. You'll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill 'er up, buddy,' and he'll say, `I am very sorry, there isn't any.'"
Reason.com explains:
"The survey estimates that global reserves could be as much as 2.1 trillion barrels of crude oil--enough to supply the world for the next 90 years. These reserve figures are constantly moving targets--as they get drawn down, miners and drillers find new sources of supply or develop more efficient technologies for exploiting the resources."
Which proves the point that even when the alarmists are proven wrong, they do not ever claim defeat; they just change the terms. It's no longer about "global warming," and it's certainly not concerned with "global cooling;" now the major concern is "climate change."

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